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Coinwy > Blog > Crypto > Bitcoin > Bitcoin Q4 2025 Forecast by Benjamin Cowen
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Q4 2025 Forecast by Benjamin Cowen

Thiago Alvarez
Last updated: September 28, 2025 4:54 am
Thiago Alvarez
Published: September 28, 2025
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Bitcoin Q4 2025 Forecast by Benjamin Cowen
Bitcoin Q4 2025 Forecast by Benjamin Cowen
Key Points:
  • Analyst Benjamin Cowen forecasts a strong Q4 for Bitcoin.
  • Possible peak between $131,000 and $154,000 if key levels hold.
  • Altcoins may underperform, focusing market strength on Bitcoin.

Analyst Benjamin Cowen predicts Bitcoin could peak between $131,000 and $154,000 in Q4 2025, highlighting the 20-week Simple Moving Average as a crucial support level.

Bitcoin’s potential surge reflects historical patterns, cautioning investors against complacency as past cycle tops led to significant drawdowns, impacting broader market dynamics and challenging altcoin performance.

Analyst Benjamin Cowen predicts a positive outlook for Bitcoin in Q4 2025. His analysis, which is based on historical halving cycles, forecasts potential peaks between $131,000 and $154,000. This outlook assumes Bitcoin does not fall below critical support levels.

Benjamin Cowen, the founder of Into The Cryptoverse, bases his forecast on historical patterns and custom risk models. He believes that Bitcoin is on track for a significant cycle peak in Q4 and advises investors to prepare accordingly for potential price drops.

The market may witness a shift towards Bitcoin as Cowen expects altcoins to underperform. This outlook warns of potential underperformance and even “zeroing out” of many altcoins, leading to an increased focus on Bitcoin by investors.

Financial implications include a potential peak for Bitcoin, driven by historical cycle patterns, and a substantial risk of subsequent drawdown. Cowen anticipates post-peak challenges, projecting a drawdown upwards of 70% in the next cycle.

Historical trends indicate Bitcoin cycle tops occurring in Q4, as seen in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Investors should remain cautious, as past cycles have resulted in significant price corrections shortly after reaching their peaks.

Insights suggest potential regulatory or market shifts as Bitcoin nears its projected peak. Cowen’s analysis, supported by historical data, urges vigilant risk management due to possible high volatility and market fluctuations during this period. Benjamin Cowen stated, “Once we get out into Q4, I don’t think investors should be complacent… if we do get a breakout, we need to just be aware that at some point we likely will put in a cycle top for this cycle.”

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