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Coinwy > Blog > Crypto > Bitcoin > Bitcoin Faces Potential Capital Shift to U.S. Treasuries
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Faces Potential Capital Shift to U.S. Treasuries

Thiago Alvarez
Last updated: August 17, 2025 2:12 pm
Thiago Alvarez
Published: August 17, 2025
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Key Takeaways:
  • Bitcoin may face outflows as investors consider U.S. Treasuries.
  • BTC-to-gold ratio is currently critical.
  • A shift toward safer assets impacts wider digital markets.

Industry strategists, including Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone, warn Bitcoin could face capital outflows as investors eye U.S. Treasuries, especially if BTC fails to maintain its gold value ratio.

Contents
Bitcoin is at riskThe potential redirection of capitalCurrent market data
MAGA Finance

This shift underscores a potential pivot in investor sentiment, possibly affecting broader digital asset markets as capital seeks safer investments in traditional safe-haven assets.

Bitcoin is at risk

Bitcoin is at risk of capital outflows as investors increasingly eye U.S. Treasuries as the next big trade, according to industry strategists. Concerns arise if Bitcoin fails to maintain its key price ratio versus gold.

Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, notes the importance of the BTC-to-gold ratio, warning that any breakdown could shift allocations toward U.S. Treasuries. Steven McClurg of Canary Capital supports the view amid potential macro shifts.

The potential redirection of capital

The potential redirection of capital could have immediate effects on Bitcoin, affecting its market stability. Financial experts point to institutional interest in safer, yield-generating assets over digital currencies.

If Bitcoin fails to defend its historical valuation against gold, the implications may include reduced inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, highlighting a significant financial and market impact. Experts suggest increased interest in traditional assets if trends persist.

“If the first-born crypto in 2009 — now with about 19-million minions — backs down from roughly 35 ounces of the rock on Aug. 15, it may signal T-bonds as the NBT.” — Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence

Current market data

Current market data shows Bitcoin trading near $117,867–$118,350, with gold at approximately $4,000 per ounce, marking a critical juncture. Observers are closely monitoring the BTC-to-gold ratio as an indicator of potential market changes.

Historical trends indicate that macro risk-off sentiments and capital rotation to safer assets like U.S. Treasuries often lead to pronounced shifts in the digital asset landscape. Strategists predict movements, considering multiple market factors, including ETF inflows.

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