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Coinwy > Blog > Crypto > Bitcoin > Bitcoin’s Fourth Halving Spurs Speculation on Future Price Trends
Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Fourth Halving Spurs Speculation on Future Price Trends

Thiago Alvarez
Last updated: May 17, 2025 5:50 am
Thiago Alvarez
Published: May 17, 2025
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Key Points:

  • Bitcoin’s fourth halving completed, impacting block rewards and issuance rate.
  • Historical cycles suggest potential price increase.
  • No official predictions of $4.5M Bitcoin price target yet.

Despite optimism in some quarters, the fourth Bitcoin halving has presented challenges and opportunities, influencing economies and raising investor interest across markets.

The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred in April 2024, cutting block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This event marks a significant shift in Bitcoin’s issuance rate, impacting miners and investors alike. Key figures and developers have focused on maintaining network stability during this period.

Leading industry figures like Brian Armstrong and Changpeng Zhao have remained influential but have provided no direct forecasts regarding a $4.5M Bitcoin target. Historical data shows significant long-term price increases post-halving, though current figures lag behind previous cycles.

Institutional involvement through US spot Bitcoin ETFs has facilitated increased market liquidity, significantly affecting trading volumes. The halving has provoked regional fiscal changes, with government-linked administration playing a role through cryptocurrency circulation dynamics.

Financial analysts suggest that the halving continues to drive speculative interest. Past trends indicate bullish tendencies, although broader economic variables could alter expected outcomes. Institutional researchers maintain that Bitcoin’s long-term prospects remain aligned with historic patterns.

Community discussions reveal a focus on transaction fee roles as block rewards diminish, drawing attention to sustainable blockchain economics. As market participants evaluate the implications of continued issuance reductions, developers remain committed to ensuring future network security and stability.

On April 19, however, bitcoin’s fourth halving led to a choppy market, until recently. … Our message to investors is that bitcoin’s performance is roughly in sync with the historical four-year cycles. As a result, we are optimistic about its prospects for the next six to twelve months. — Ark Invest Research, Analyst, Ark Invest


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