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Coinwy > Blog > Crypto > Bitcoin > Bitcoin Worst-Case Scenario in 2025 by Anthony Pompliano
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Worst-Case Scenario in 2025 by Anthony Pompliano

Thiago Alvarez
Last updated: May 28, 2025 8:50 am
Thiago Alvarez
Published: May 28, 2025
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Key Takeaways:
  • Bitcoin’s worst-case price scenario addressed by Anthony Pompliano.
  • Low-probability downturn toward $50,000.
  • Resilience of long-term holders highlighted.

Anthony Pompliano, a prominent crypto investor, has outlined a potential worst-case scenario for Bitcoin in 2025. He emphasized the influence of long-term holders as Bitcoin struggles to surpass the $110,000 mark.

Contents
Market Volatility and Expert OpinionsMacro Drivers and Regulatory ConcernsInvestor Sentiments and Developer ActivityHistorical Context and Future Projections

Pompliano’s prediction underscores Bitcoin’s resilience, expressed in a YouTube discussion as potential worst-case market conditions unfold. Potential macroeconomic impacts and liquidation events may challenge Bitcoin’s valuation stability.

Market Volatility and Expert Opinions

Market volatility has intensified due to macroeconomic factors and sudden liquidation events. Prominent Twitter analysts highlighted the significance of risk management amid sharp price changes. Anthony Pompliano and other experts predict that while Bitcoin might drop to $50,000, the likelihood remains low.

Could Bitcoin go to $80,000 or $75,000? Sure. Could Bitcoin go to $50,000? Technically anything’s possible, but I think that would be very, very unlikely just given how many hardcore, long-term holders there are … That number is bigger today than it was four or five years ago. So that’s worst case: $50k, maybe. Nobody knows, but the likely downside case is what investors really consider.

Macro Drivers and Regulatory Concerns

The crypto market faces leveraged risk and regulatory scrutiny. Macro drivers like inflation and Federal Reserve policies have prompted caution among investors. Major cryptocurrencies including Ethereum, XRP, and ADA experience correlated volatility during market stress periods.

Investor Sentiments and Developer Activity

Investor sentiment remains cautious as they await clarity on fiscal policies and tariff developments. Developer activity stays steady, with no emergency forks or roadmap delays seen across significant crypto channels.

Historical Context and Future Projections

Historical liquidation cascades led to substantial volatility, spilling over to Ethereum and other coins. Analysts suggest vigilance given both macro and on-chain threats, considering potential price downtrends. Data emphasizes the prominence of long-term holder conviction in mitigating extreme scenarios.

Bitcoin Surpasses $110,000 as Institutional Support Grows
Tether, SoftBank, Jack Mallers Launch Bitcoin Company
Strategy Inc. Boosts Bitcoin Holdings with $427M Purchase
Standard Chartered Predicts Bitcoin Could Hit $500,000 by 2028
Pakistan’s Crypto Move Attracts IMF Attention

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