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Coinwy > Blog > Crypto > Bitcoin > Polymarket Predicts Bitcoin Decline
Bitcoin

Polymarket Predicts Bitcoin Decline

Thiago Alvarez
Last updated: October 19, 2025 4:31 am
Thiago Alvarez
Published: October 19, 2025
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Polymarket Predicts Bitcoin Decline
Polymarket Predicts Bitcoin Decline
Key Points:
  • Bitcoin faces a potential drop below $100K as per Polymarket forecasts.
  • 52% probability signals changing trader sentiment.
  • This has significant market and financial ramifications.

Polymarket reports a 52% probability of Bitcoin dropping below $100,000 in October 2025 after a recent price correction.

Market uncertainty rises with potential Bitcoin downturn, impacting institutional strategies and sparking concerns over wider cryptocurrency stability.

Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, estimates a 52% probability of Bitcoin falling below $100,000 during October 2025. This prediction represents a shift in sentiment after Bitcoin surged past $125,000 earlier in the year.

Leading platforms such as Polymarket, with founder Shayne Coplan at the helm, are witnessing notable market movements. Polymarket’s Twitter announced, “Bitcoin projected to crash below $100k this month,” reflecting a change in trading dynamics.

The potential drop in Bitcoin’s value could have significant implications, cooling investor enthusiasm and affecting trading volumes. Institutional investors, including MicroStrategy, may readjust their strategies in response to the volatile environment.

A decline in Bitcoin’s value below the $100,000 mark could ripple through financial markets and the cryptocurrency industry. Analysts warn of potential liquidations which might amplify market fragility and impact related assets like Ethereum and Solana.

Historical trends suggest that Bitcoin’s price shifts at crucial thresholds can trigger rapid liquidity impacts and volatility in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) markets. This underscores the potential strategic responses by traders and institutions.

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